Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 4.318048 4.636946 4.979568 5.377092 5.828241 6.327493 6.926192
2025-08-24 3.768478 4.199383 4.691756 5.303643 6.054843 6.962613 8.168169
2025-08-31 3.489166 3.987111 4.580919 5.356497 6.367280 7.678322 9.579385
2025-09-07 3.270528 3.808042 4.470125 5.369197 6.599204 8.293557 10.953132
2025-09-14 3.017766 3.557884 4.237829 5.186253 6.529217 8.462843 11.689546
2025-09-21 2.834740 3.378978 4.077472 5.075647 6.534703 8.725751 12.610873
2025-09-28 2.697347 3.247530 3.966297 5.016937 6.599960 9.077379 13.751966
2025-10-05 2.596164 3.155908 3.899840 5.011729 6.738841 9.559561 15.251370
2025-10-12 2.539381 3.119033 3.903935 5.106229 7.039053 10.356442 17.623792
2025-10-19 2.481812 3.076657 3.895773 5.178984 7.309281 11.145366 20.285734
2025-10-26 2.411439 3.012024 3.850505 5.188827 7.472032 11.759635 22.800042
2025-11-02 2.319175 2.911833 3.747157 5.097969 7.447538 11.996506 24.423106
2025-11-09 2.219196 2.798832 3.622588 4.970030 7.354349 12.099822 25.804034
2025-11-16 2.141885 2.715448 3.538477 4.902986 7.367449 12.439915 28.158664
2025-11-23 2.099325 2.680040 3.524165 4.949406 7.597090 13.311484 32.994391
2025-11-30 2.051350 2.634288 3.491043 4.960580 7.759011 14.064102 38.132587
2025-12-07 1.966176 2.530361 3.362919 4.799292 7.560013 13.882949 39.033382
2025-12-14 1.900889 2.453758 3.274274 4.701574 7.481269 14.000061 41.573288
2025-12-21 1.850122 2.396928 3.214029 4.649642 7.491021 14.353768 45.809639
2025-12-28 1.812788 2.358873 3.181692 4.645033 7.599505 15.005447 52.817714
2026-01-04 1.796298 2.351547 3.197814 4.728608 7.907723 16.321352 67.408586
2026-01-11 1.776502 2.338289 3.203440 4.792874 8.181704 17.632764 86.965298
2026-01-18 1.746673 2.308462 3.180444 4.801564 8.329284 18.589734 107.925561